I’m not a witch, but I do have a bigger…. Uhm… Blog!

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Cliff, you asked for it, you got it!

Global Warming Hysteria – I’m Thirsty!

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Future droughts are going to be massive, so says a new study from somebody.

Increasingly dry conditions across much of the globe — including the U.S. — are likely over the next 30 years, a new study predicts. Moreover, by the year 2100 drought in some regions could be unprecedented in modern times.

Increasing drought has long been forecast as a consequence of warming temperatures…

And yet, as I’ve reminded people over and over again, worldwide precipitation has neither gone up or down in the last century.

…but the study from the National Center for Atmospheric Research projects serious impacts as soon as the 2030s. Impacts by century’s end could go beyond anything in the historical record, the study suggests.

“We are facing the possibility of widespread drought in the coming decades, but this has yet to be fully recognized by both the public and the climate change research community,” study author Aiguo Dai said in a statement. “If the projections in this study come even close to being realized, the consequences for society worldwide will be enormous.”

To get an idea of how severe droughts might get, scientists use a measure called the Palmer Drought Severity Index, or PDSI. A positive score is wet, a negative score is dry and a score of zero is neither overly wet nor dry.

And here’s the kicker:

The most severe drought in recent history, in the Sahel region of western Africa in the 1970s, had a PDSI of -3 or -4.

Uhm… Huh? So, the world has been warming during the forty years since this most severe drought EVER, and there hasn’t been another like it for all this time, and yet, by 2030, only twenty years from now, WE’RE DOOMED??????????………

The study’s findings are based on 22 computer models and the best current predictions of climate-warming greenhouse gas emissions.

Oh. Computer models. OK. Now I get it.

This could change depending on actual greenhouse emissions in the future as well as natural climate cycles such as El Nino, Dai said.

Translation – This is just a model. We can’t really predict this since we can’t reliably model the frequency or durations of natural phenomenon like El Nino or La Nina.