Global Warming Hysteria – I’m Thirsty!

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Future droughts are going to be massive, so says a new study from somebody.

Increasingly dry conditions across much of the globe — including the U.S. — are likely over the next 30 years, a new study predicts. Moreover, by the year 2100 drought in some regions could be unprecedented in modern times.

Increasing drought has long been forecast as a consequence of warming temperatures…

And yet, as I’ve reminded people over and over again, worldwide precipitation has neither gone up or down in the last century.

…but the study from the National Center for Atmospheric Research projects serious impacts as soon as the 2030s. Impacts by century’s end could go beyond anything in the historical record, the study suggests.

“We are facing the possibility of widespread drought in the coming decades, but this has yet to be fully recognized by both the public and the climate change research community,” study author Aiguo Dai said in a statement. “If the projections in this study come even close to being realized, the consequences for society worldwide will be enormous.”

To get an idea of how severe droughts might get, scientists use a measure called the Palmer Drought Severity Index, or PDSI. A positive score is wet, a negative score is dry and a score of zero is neither overly wet nor dry.

And here’s the kicker:

The most severe drought in recent history, in the Sahel region of western Africa in the 1970s, had a PDSI of -3 or -4.

Uhm… Huh? So, the world has been warming during the forty years since this most severe drought EVER, and there hasn’t been another like it for all this time, and yet, by 2030, only twenty years from now, WE’RE DOOMED??????????………

The study’s findings are based on 22 computer models and the best current predictions of climate-warming greenhouse gas emissions.

Oh. Computer models. OK. Now I get it.

This could change depending on actual greenhouse emissions in the future as well as natural climate cycles such as El Nino, Dai said.

Translation – This is just a model. We can’t really predict this since we can’t reliably model the frequency or durations of natural phenomenon like El Nino or La Nina.

2 Comments to “Global Warming Hysteria – I’m Thirsty!”

  1. By DAVID SPURGEON, October 20, 2010 @ 4:37 pm

    Nd then this happened….
    on that day all the springs of the great deep burst forth, and the floodgates of the heavens were opened. 12 And rain fell on the earth forty days and forty nights.
    For forty days the flood kept coming on the earth, and as the waters increased they lifted the ark high above the earth. 18 The waters rose and increased greatly on the earth, and the ark floated on the surface of the water. 19 They rose greatly on the earth, and all the high mountains under the entire heavens were covered. 20 The waters rose and covered the mountains to a depth of more than twenty feet. [b] , [c] 21 Every living thing that moved on the earth perished—birds, livestock, wild animals, all the creatures that swarm over the earth, and all mankind. 22 Everything on dry land that had the breath of life in its nostrils died. 23 Every living thing on the face of the earth was wiped out; men and animals and the creatures that move along the ground and the birds of the air were wiped from the earth. Only Noah was left, and those with him in the ark.

    24 The waters flooded the earth for a hundred and fifty days.

  2. By Jeff Alberts, October 22, 2010 @ 5:14 am

    25 And then Frodo threw the ring into the fire of Mt Doom.

    See, I can quote fairy tales too.

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